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Early predictions point to a warmer fall and a whirlwind of snow and rain this winter

Weather impacts everything we do and is one of our favourite subjects when engaging in small talk.

While Environment Canada and Climate Change won’t issue its official fall forecast until sometime in September and November or early December for winter, Environment Canada Meteorologist Steven Flisfeder said temperatures this fall are expected to be above the seasonal average. “In a very broad general sense for the upcoming fall season, we’re expecting above-normal temperatures, again that’s averaged over the entire season, so there will be variability within that three-month period, but overall, when all is said and done, we do expect those three months to average out to above seasonal temperatures.”

Flisfeder said it’s much less clear how much precipitation we’ll get. “We can expect a typical summer transition into fall where we start to get more intensity in the storms. In the summer, the low-pressure system associated with summer systems is fairly weak. As we transition from summer through fall and then eventually into winter, those systems, generally speaking, become more developed and more intense.”

While winter doesn’t officially begin until the winter solstice on Saturday, December 21, 2024, many wonder what’s in store.

The Farmer’s Almanac has been predicting the weather for centuries and claims 80 per cent accuracy.

In an extended forecast released on August 14, The Farmers’ Almanac predicted that impacts from La Niña will be felt throughout the winter months with some surprises. Ontario, thanks in part to La Niña, which generally brings a cooler front, will see a whirlwind of snow and rain, but overall temperatures are expected to fall below average. The coldest outbreak of the season will come during the final week of January into the beginning of February when frigid Arctic air brings a sharp drop in temperatures, according to the Farmers’ Almanac.

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2 Comments

  1. Bill Spring says:

    I agree with these observations.
    However, beavers will not get any sympathy from me.
    That’s after tearing apart their dam in my pond every morning since spring.
    When they start using survey stakes and hockey sticks to build the dam, they’ve crossed my line.( most of them shoot right, luckily)

  2. Phil Beacock says:

    My observations are as follow: The old apple trees on our property are fullest I have ever seen. Meaning the animals will have lots of winter prep food.
    The swamps are full of water which the beaver need for winter survival

    The black wasp nests are 30’ high. Meaning lots of snow

    Lots of fun watching and interpretations of Mother Nature. Just saying have a great winter!