{"id":77390,"date":"2019-11-14T05:12:48","date_gmt":"2019-11-14T10:12:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/huntsville.dopperonline.ca\/?p=77390"},"modified":"2019-11-15T10:18:13","modified_gmt":"2019-11-15T15:18:13","slug":"are-we-sure-that-there-are-11000-world-scientists-warning-of-a-climate-emergency","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/doppleronline.ca\/huntsville\/are-we-sure-that-there-are-11000-world-scientists-warning-of-a-climate-emergency\/","title":{"rendered":"Are we sure that there are 11,000 world scientists warning of a climate emergency? | Commentary"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><em><strong>By Dave Wilkin<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<p>I have written previously on energy and climate change, <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/doppleronline.ca\/huntsville\/canadas-energy-future-a-path-forward-by-dave-wilkin-and-tim-lutton\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">including thoughts on how Canada could help with a responsible transition to a more diverse, lower carbon, sustainable energy future<\/a><\/span>. So a recently published study by a group called the <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.scientistswarning.org\/the-alliance-of-world-scientists\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Alliance of World Scientists<\/a><\/span> caught my eye. Their report, <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/academic.oup.com\/bioscience\/advance-article\/doi\/10.1093\/biosci\/biz088\/5610806\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><em>World Scientists\u2019 Warning of a Climate Emergency<\/em>,<\/a><\/span> was published in <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><em><a href=\"https:\/\/academic.oup.com\/bioscience\/pages\/About\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">BioScience<\/a><\/em><\/span>, a peer-reviewed scientific journal, and quickly picked up  by most of the mainstream media, some featuring catchy headlines like this one from CNN: <em><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.cnn.com\/2019\/11\/05\/world\/climate-emergency-scientists-warning-intl-trnd\/index.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">11,000 scientists warn of &#8216;untold suffering&#8217; caused by climate change<\/a><\/span><\/em>. Or this one in <em>The Guardian<\/em>: <em><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.theguardian.com\/environment\/2019\/nov\/05\/climate-crisis-11000-scientists-warn-of-untold-suffering\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Climate crisis: 11,000 scientists warn of \u2018untold suffering\u2019<\/a><\/span><\/em>.<\/p>\n<div style=\"float: left; margin-right: 14px;\"><strong><broadstreet-zone zone-id=\"45658\" keywords=\"\" soft-keywords=\"true\" zone-alias=\"\"><\/broadstreet-zone><\/strong><\/div>\n<p>So, what new important insights did this scientific report contain? First, I checked out some of the scientists who had signed it, expecting to see many top climatologists and atmospheric researchers. Surprisingly, the list appeared to be a collection of ecologists, biologists, social scientists, physiologists, doctors, therapists, students, professors, activists and maybe some real climate scientists. The day after its release, someone noticed that <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/globalnews.ca\/news\/6138812\/mickey-mouse-global-climate-emergency-letter\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Mickey Mouse and Hogwart\u2019s Headmaster Albus Dumbledore were on the list<\/a><\/span> too. The list quickly disappeared, sighting \u201cadministrative errors\u201d, before reappearing, slightly cleaned up. Turns out anyone simply clicking on their web page and filling out a few fields and submitting it made the list of \u201csignatory scientists\u201d, pranksters included. Point made.<\/p>\n<p>Further, a quick look at the \u201cscientist\u201d representation from the \u201c153 countries\u201d, reveals the vast majority (&gt;90 per cent) are from the US, Europe or Canada. I saw maybe a hundred from India, a dozen or so from China, and a small number from Russia and Africa.<\/p>\n<p>The <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/academic.oup.com\/bioscience\/advance-article\/doi\/10.1093\/biosci\/biz088\/5610806\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">conclusions and key messages, contained in the report?<\/a><\/span> \u2014 &#8220;Economic and population growth are among the most important drivers of increases in CO2 emissions from fossil fuel combustion.\u201d; \u201cThe climate crisis is closely linked to excessive consumption of the wealthy lifestyle.\u201d \u2014 Obvious, but no new science there.<\/p>\n<p>What actions and solutions were proposed<em>? \u2014 <\/em>\u201cExcessive extraction of materials \u2026 driven by economic growth, must be quickly curtailed.\u201d; \u201cThe world population must be stabilized\u2014and, ideally, gradually reduced\u201d; \u201cimplement massive energy efficiency and conservation practices and must replace fossil fuels with low-carbon renewables..\u201d<strong>.<\/strong> \u2014 Pretty extreme stuff, but few thoughts on how.<\/p>\n<p>This is an opinion piece masquerading as a scientific report. None of the mainstream media bothered to fact-check the 11,000 \u201cscientists\u201d signing claim, question or challenge anything in the piece. It obviously fit their profile of what grabs people\u2019s attention.<\/p>\n<p>One obvious question, given such drastic proposed actions is: at what costs\/impacts to people? The message I think developing countries get from pieces like this: <em>Sorry that we in the wealthy countries (20 per cent of the world\u2019s population) have used up the earth\u2019s CO2 atmospheric capacity, but to save our planet now, we all must curtail economic growth and reduce our population. But don\u2019t worry (you 80 per cent in economically deprived\/energy poor countries), we are here to help you. <\/em> Little wonder so few people from developing countries (let alone climate scientists) \u201csigned\u201d it.<\/p>\n<p>Scaring people as the mainstream media often does on climate change, has unintended consequences too. One example: <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/canada\/article-the-new-childfree-fearful-amid-climate-change-some-young-canadians\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">A growing number of young families are going \u201cchildfree\u201d<\/a><\/span>, fearing their <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.vox.com\/2019\/3\/11\/18256166\/climate-change-having-kids\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">children would suffer horribly in a world on the brink of climate catastrophes and extinction<\/a><\/span>.<\/p>\n<p>Pushing opinion pieces masquerading as scientific consensus reports diminishes the mainstream media\u2019s credibility and undermines the broader climate change movement.<\/p>\n<p><em>Correction: The final sentence in the fourth paragraph of this commentary has been updated to include the word &#8216;new&#8217;, and now reads &#8220;Obvious, but no new science there.&#8221;<\/em><\/p>\n<p><em><strong>Dave Wilkin is a Professional Engineer who lives in Huntsville. He is an electrical engineer with a career spanning 35 years in IT, banking and consulting.<\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n<h5 style=\"text-align: center;\">Don\u2019t miss out on Doppler!<\/h5>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>Sign up <a href=\"https:\/\/doppleronline.ca\/huntsville\/dont-miss-out-on-doppler\/\"><u>here<\/u><\/a> to receive our email digest with links to our most recent stories.<br \/>\nLocal news in your inbox three times per week!<\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><broadstreet-zone zone-id=\"45657\" keywords=\"\" soft-keywords=\"true\" zone-alias=\"\"><\/broadstreet-zone>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>A recently published study, World Scientists\u2019 Warning of a Climate Emergency, in BioScience, a peer-reviewed scientific journal, caught my eye.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":13,"featured_media":77395,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[26,771,1922],"class_list":["post-77390","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-commentary","tag-breaking","tag-climate-change","tag-david-wilkin"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v25.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Are we sure that there are 11,000 world scientists warning of a climate emergency? 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