{"id":63100,"date":"2019-03-10T08:36:08","date_gmt":"2019-03-10T12:36:08","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/huntsville.dopperonline.ca\/?p=63100"},"modified":"2019-03-10T08:36:08","modified_gmt":"2019-03-10T12:36:08","slug":"snc-job-loss-fear-is-a-weak-diversion-from-the-root-of-the-scandal-liberal-political-interests-in-quebec-dave-wilkin","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/doppleronline.ca\/huntsville\/snc-job-loss-fear-is-a-weak-diversion-from-the-root-of-the-scandal-liberal-political-interests-in-quebec-dave-wilkin\/","title":{"rendered":"SNC job loss fear is a weak diversion from the root of the scandal; Liberal political interests in Quebec &#8211; Dave Wilkin"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>Just when you think the SNC-Lavalin (SNC) scandal couldn\u2019t get any worse, more bombshells land. Jane Philpott, the highly respected recently appointed Treasury Board President, resigned from cabinet, stating &#8220;Sadly, I have lost confidence in how the government has dealt with this matter and in how it has responded to the issues raised&#8221;. This followed news that China questions Canada\u2019s commitment to the \u201crule-of-law\u201d and \u201cjudicial independence\u201d, comparing the handling of Huawei CFO Meng Wanzhou\u2019s extradition and the SNC-Lavalin cases. Team Trudeau\u2019s confused double-speak on the Wanzhou case <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">(<a href=\"https:\/\/www.cbc.ca\/news\/politics\/mccallum-out-ambassador-1.4994492\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">leading to ambassador McCallum firing<\/a>)<\/span> comes full-circle. Who\u2019s next to pile on, \u2018meddler-in-chief\u2019 Vladimir Putin?<\/p>\n<div style=\"float: left; margin-right: 14px;\"><strong><broadstreet-zone zone-id=\"45658\" keywords=\"\" soft-keywords=\"true\" zone-alias=\"\"><\/broadstreet-zone><\/strong><\/div>\n<p>Bad enough, but the PM\u2019s response to Canadians early on March 7 made things worse. He appeared disingenuous; a contrived self-reflecting \u201clearning\u201d moment over what he still sees as a \u201cdifference in perception\u201d. No Mr. Trudeau, it\u2019s a scandal of your making, rocking the pillar of judicial independence. You missed your best opportunity to show leadership by accepting accountability and apologizing for the entire mess. What we saw instead, textbook political-speak and old political maneuvers Canadians so abhor:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li><strong>Shifting blame\/denials<\/strong> <strong>\u2013 <\/strong>PMO for communications breakdowns &amp; trust erosion; he was \u201cunaware\u201d, did nothing \u201cinappropriate\u201d.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Undermining &#8211; <\/strong> Wilson-Raybould should have come to him earlier; his \u201cdisappointment\u201d with her decisions.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Spin &#8211; <\/strong>reassuring Canadians the integrity of institutions and rule of law remains in-tack but failing to acknowledge that\u2019s <em>only because Ms. Wilson-Raybould stood her ground<\/em> against sustained political pressure. Had she yielded, she would have broken the law (obstruction of justice).<\/li>\n<li><strong>Stonewalling, hiding behind process <\/strong>\u2013 3<sup>rd<\/sup> party \u201cexpert\u201d reviews, opinions, investigations.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Changing the channel &#8211;<\/strong> invoking memories of his father, pivots to government \u201caccomplishments\u201d, his trips,..<\/li>\n<li><strong>Deception &#8211; <\/strong>the AG must be open up until the \u201c<span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/nationalpost.com\/news\/canada\/trudeau-erosion-of-trust-jody-wilson-raybould-snc-lavalin\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">very last minutes of trial<\/a><\/span>\u201d<strong>. <\/strong>Wrong, the DPP is the prosecutor, not the AG.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Dishonesty\/deflection \u2013<\/strong> \u201cstanding up for jobs\u201d line, despite the DPA law <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/thetyee.ca\/Analysis\/2019\/02\/15\/JWR-Was-Right\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><strong>explicitly stating economic factors must not be considered<\/strong><\/a><\/span><strong>.<\/strong><\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>So, let\u2019s dig further into his jobs defense. Of the <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a href=\"http:\/\/www.snclavalin.com\/en\/canada\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">8,762 SNC Canadian employees<\/a><\/span> , roughly 8000 are in project-based construction and engineering jobs. This work will be performed by Canadian workers, with or without SNC. Further, SNC currently has a <a href=\"https:\/\/www.newswire.ca\/news-releases\/snc-lavalin-reports-fourth-quarter-and-year-end-results-854140975.html\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\"><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">$15B backlog of signed contracts<\/span>. <\/a> Even in the very <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/business.financialpost.com\/news\/fp-street\/heres-how-a-new-escape-route-could-open-up-for-snc-lavalin?video_autoplay=true\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">unlikely event SNC is hit <\/a><\/span>with a federal contract ban, future Canadian project work will still be done by Canadian workers. This includes many large provincial government contracts that SNC would still be eligible to bid on.<\/p>\n<div style=\"float: left; margin-right: 14px;\"><strong><broadstreet-zone zone-id=\"45658\" keywords=\"\" soft-keywords=\"true\" zone-alias=\"\"><\/broadstreet-zone><\/strong><\/div>\n<p>So, what about SNC HQ moving out of Canada? The US and UK have been mentioned as possible options. That\u2019s impossible before 2024 due to <a href=\"https:\/\/www.theglobeandmail.com\/business\/article-justice-jobs-and-snc-lavalin-how-much-does-the-engineering-giant\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">l<span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">oan obligation commitments with Quebec\u2019s pension giant Caisse de depot<\/span><\/a><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">.<\/span> Also, enormous political and shareholder objections, cash outlays, &amp; staffing challenges would likely stop it. And to what ends? Only to see <em>l<\/em><em style=\"font-size: 14px;\">ess<\/em><span style=\"font-family: 'Open Sans', Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 14px;\"> <\/span><span style=\"font-size: 14px;\">political lobbying clout than they currently enjoy. Good luck lobbying any US Administration from a $4.5B US market-cap company (not even in the top 500 in the US), with no historical roots and a small US footprint. The UK, with Brexit raging, is just as unlikely.  What about a foreign takeover you say? Fully 80 per cent of SNC shares are held in Canada, mostly in big institutions.  Further, the <\/span><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a style=\"font-size: 14px;\" href=\"https:\/\/montrealgazette.com\/news\/local-news\/quebec-ready-to-protect-snc-lavalin-from-foreign-takeover-legault\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Quebec government said it would block any takeovers<\/a><\/span><span style=\"font-size: 14px;\"><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">,<\/span> recently raising its SNC ownership stake to 20 per cent.  What engineering company would ever attempt a hostile takeover, at a big market premium, in this situation? <\/span><em style=\"font-size: 14px;\"><u>Conclusion<\/u><\/em><span style=\"font-size: 14px;\">&#8211; these are understandable but completely hollow SNC threats aimed at the government to gain a favourable outcome, nothing more.<\/span><\/p>\n<p>Finally, what does their stock price tell us? It has traded mostly sideways since an initial <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/business.financialpost.com\/commodities\/mining\/canadas-snc-lavalin-cuts-profit-forecast-on-mining-saudi-challenges\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">25% drop on January 28<\/a><\/span>, following their announcement of a $1.3B mining segment hit and profit warnings tied to <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.youtube.com\/watch?v=91o7Y0b94Dg&amp;list=PLMsShYC-jENYxokvbjG6xOUEoN8jAWMSY\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">oil &amp; gas segment headwinds<\/a><\/span>. This drop <em>pre-dates<\/em> the February 7 Globe &amp; Mail bombshell report, so the market is not anticipating future major corporate damage over the scandal.  It is interesting to note however, these SNC headwinds stem from the Canadian and Saudi governments&#8217; ongoing spat and oil and gas prices\/uncertainty, notably in Canada. Now add-in an ongoing Canada-China fight potentially placing SNC&#8217;s nuclear energy contracts in China at risk. What is common across these issues and risks? They all have direct links to the PM\u2019s damaging energy policies and geopolitical missteps.<\/p>\n<p>So, the SNC job loss fear is a weak diversion from the root of this scandal \u2013 Liberal political interests in Quebec. Trudeau even carelessly let that slip in <span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/www.macleans.ca\/politics\/ottawa\/trudeau-and-senior-liberals-kept-linking-snc-lavalin-prosecution-to-elections\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">comments he made to Ms. Wilson-Raybould<\/a><\/span>. This fiasco has damaged Canadians\u2019 confidence and trust in this government over its disregard for judicial independence. March 7 will be remembered as the day Justin Trudeau had the opportunity to show real leadership and end this fiasco. Canadians will soon have the final say on how he measures up.<\/p>\n<p>Readers may also be interested in these related commentaries:<\/p>\n<p><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/doppleronline.ca\/huntsville\/opposition-actions-on-the-snc-case-could-come-back-to-haunt-them-hugh-holland\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Opposition actions on the SNC Lavalin case could come back to haunt them &#8211; Hugh Holland<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/doppleronline.ca\/huntsville\/in-the-case-of-snc-the-pm-has-chosen-political-meddling-over-rule-of-law-dave-wilkin\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">In the case of SNC, the PM has chosen political meddling over rule of law &#8211; Dave Wilkin<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/doppleronline.ca\/huntsville\/a-political-rubiks-cube-if-ever-there-was-one-hugh-holland\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">A political Rubik&#8217;s cube if ever there was one &#8211; Hugh Holland<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/doppleronline.ca\/huntsville\/a-deferred-prosecution-agreement-is-the-best-way-to-deal-with-snc-lavalin-hugh-holland\/\">A Deferred Prosecution Agreement is the best way to deal with SNC Lavalin &#8211; Hugh Holland<\/a><br \/>\n<\/span><\/p>\n<p><strong><em>Dave Wilkin is a Professional Engineer who lives in Huntsville.<\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\"><strong>Don\u2019t miss out on Doppler! Sign up for our free newsletter <\/strong><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><a href=\"https:\/\/doppleronline.ca\/huntsville\/dont-miss-out-on-doppler\/\"><strong>here<\/strong><strong>.<\/strong><\/a><\/span><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center;\">           <strong><broadstreet-zone zone-id=\"45657\" keywords=\"\" soft-keywords=\"true\" zone-alias=\"\"><\/broadstreet-zone><\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Just when you think the SNC-Lavalin (SNC) scandal couldn\u2019t get any worse, more bombshells land. Jane Philpott, the highly respected recently appointed Treasury Board President, resigned from cabinet, stating [&#8230;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":13,"featured_media":62103,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[5],"tags":[26,2003,2052],"class_list":["post-63100","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-commentary","tag-breaking","tag-dave-wilkin","tag-snc"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v25.8 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>SNC job loss fear is a weak diversion from the root of the scandal; Liberal political interests in Quebec - Dave Wilkin<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/doppleronline.ca\/huntsville\/snc-job-loss-fear-is-a-weak-diversion-from-the-root-of-the-scandal-liberal-political-interests-in-quebec-dave-wilkin\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"SNC job loss fear is a weak diversion from the root of the scandal; Liberal political interests in Quebec - Dave Wilkin\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Just when you think the SNC-Lavalin (SNC) scandal couldn\u2019t get any worse, more bombshells land. 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