\n(THE CANADIAN PRESS\/Chris Young) <\/span><\/span><\/em>This article was originally published on The Conversation<\/a><\/span>.<\/em><\/p>\n
\n
By Michael J. Armstrong<\/a><\/span>, Associate professor of operations research, Goodman School of Business, Brock University<\/a><\/span><\/em><\/strong><\/p>\n Legalized cannabis is just a month away, but Ontario won\u2019t have<\/a><\/span> any cannabis stores until April. That\u2019s due to the province\u2019s recent decision<\/a><\/span> to have cannabis outlets run by businesses rather than a government agency<\/a><\/span>, although the agency will still open a retail web site Oct. 17.<\/p>\n In the meantime, the provincial government has many regulatory decisions to make about cannabis retailers. Those retailers could easily number in the hundreds or even thousands as many businesses enter the newly legal industry.<\/p>\n For starters, some cannabis growers naturally want to expand vertically into retailing. Aurora Cannabis is eyeing 100 potential stores<\/a><\/span>. Canopy Growth wants as many Ontario licenses as possible<\/a><\/span>, and already has some in Newfoundland, Manitoba and Saskatchewan.<\/p>\n Meanwhile, established retailers are expanding horizontally into cannabis. Second Cup may convert<\/a><\/span> some of its 130 Ontario coffee outlets to cannabis. It\u2019s already readying shops in Manitoba, Alberta and British Columbia. Grocer Loblaw is similarly preparing for sales in Newfoundland<\/a><\/span> and Alberta<\/a><\/span>, so Ontario could follow.<\/p>\n Many existing illegal pot shops will want into the legal market, but they\u2019ll find it difficult. Ontario\u2019s insisting they shut down by Oct. 17<\/a><\/span> if they wish to \u2014 maybe \u2014 sell legally in April.<\/p>\n New cannabis vendors will also appear. Those could include retail chains, like Fire & Flower\u2019s 37 Alberta stores<\/a><\/span>, as well as independent mom-and-pop stores.<\/p>\n Given the wide interest, Ontario can expect far more than the 40 shops<\/a><\/span> its previous Liberal government had planned. This leads to the first regulatory question: should the province cap the store count? Other provinces provide hints of what\u2019s possible.<\/p>\n For instance, Saskatchewan limited itself to just 51 stores<\/a><\/span>, chosen by lottery. Newfoundland\u2019s aiming for 30<\/a><\/span>.<\/p>\n By contrast, Alberta isn\u2019t capping store counts, and already had 684 licence applications<\/a><\/span> by mid-August.<\/p>\n Ontario\u2019s numbers will presumably be higher in proportion to its larger population<\/a><\/span>. Rationing licences like Saskatchewan and Newfoundland might give it 600 to 800 cannabis stores next year. That\u2019s comparable to its 660 Liquor Control Board of Ontario<\/a><\/span> outlets.<\/p>\n Ontario’s Minister of Finance Vic Fideli and Attorney General Caroline Mulroney deliver remarks following an announcement on Ontario’s cannabis retail model, in Toronto on Monday, August 13, 2018. (THE CANADIAN PRESS\/Christopher Katsarov)<\/p><\/div>\n If Ontario instead matches Alberta\u2019s openness, it could see over 2,200 pot shops. That\u2019s similar to its 2,189 total alcohol sellers<\/a><\/span>: LCBO outlets, beer and wine stores.<\/p>\n Aside from store totals, should Ontario otherwise restrict the industry\u2019s structure? For example, Manitoba is limiting the number of store operators. It\u2019s initially licensed only four chains<\/a><\/span>, though more may follow later.<\/p>\n By contrast, Alberta\u2019s prohibiting anyone from holding more than 15 percent of its retail licences<\/a><\/span>.<\/p>\n Meanwhile, both the Canadian Federation of Independent Business<\/a><\/span> and the Association of Municipalities of Ontario<\/a><\/span> want some Ontario licences reserved for small businesses.<\/p>\n Along with greater store numbers, Ontario can expect more variety. But that might be limited by both existing federal marketing restrictions<\/span><\/a> and the province\u2019s not-yet-determined rules.<\/p>\n For example, will Ontario only allow standalone cannabis shops? Or will it also permit smaller outlets within larger stores?<\/p>\n Most provinces are focusing on standalones. But many Nova Scotia cannabis \u201cstores\u201d<\/a><\/span> are just walled-off sections of liquor outlets. Similarly, some Newfoundland outlets<\/a><\/span> will sell cannabis the way they sell tobacco, from special counters within larger stores.<\/p>\n In Ontario, big grocers would presumably prefer this approach. Some already have wine outlets or beer aisles. They\u2019d likely emphasize convenience and value but carry limited selections.<\/p>\n Cannabis counters would also fit small towns that can\u2019t support standalone shops. The LCBO already sells liquor this way, via 212 agency stores.<\/p>\n Conversely, standalones would better suit cannabis growers and speciality retailers. They\u2019d offer wider selections and more service.<\/p>\n The provincial government must also decide whether to restrict stores\u2019 sales methods. For example, can cannabis shops openly display products? Or must they hide them, as liquor stores did in 1928<\/a><\/span>?<\/p>\n Retail employees will need to educate consumers about products, as federal law limits cannabis growers\u2019 advertising. How much advice will \u201cbud-tenders\u201d be permitted to give? Will Ontario require product safety training<\/a><\/span>, like its Smart Serve<\/a><\/span> program for alcohol sellers?<\/p>\n Stores in Ontario currently selling cannabis illegally will need to shut down before Oct. 17 and they apply for a legal retail licence. In this photo from March 2017, store manager Mark Harrison speaks to media outside a Cannabis Culture store following a police raid in Toronto on Thursday, March 9, 2017. (THE CANADIAN PRESS\/Aaron Vincent Elkaim)<\/p><\/div>\n Those employees should take care when travelling. As Canadians were recently reminded<\/a><\/span>, American border agents can permanently ban cannabis workers from entering the U.S. So, if heading south on vacation, ensure your cars don\u2019t display company parking passes or stickers. And don\u2019t wear cannabis-brand clothing.<\/p>\n Will Ontario permit cannabis lounges<\/a><\/span> where people can consume when not at home? Those would enable legal smoking for tourists, tenants and condo owners living in non-smoking buildings.<\/p>\n If not lounges for smoking, perhaps cafes for eating? Legal cannabis foods and beverages<\/a><\/span> will arrive sometime in 2019. On-site consumption would particularly fit the coffee culture some retailers are targeting.<\/p>\n Then there are small-scale growers. Will Ontario let them sell their own products on-site, as vineyards and brew-pubs do? That could attract tourists and support small businesses.<\/p>\n In making these decisions, Ontario\u2019s government faces several challenges. One is to create trustworthy regulations without micromanaging the retailers. That\u2019s a balance governments often miss<\/a><\/span>.<\/p>\n Another challenge is to simultaneously promote consumer health<\/a><\/span> and industry health. Harm reduction<\/a><\/span> is important, but so is a robust cannabis industry<\/a><\/span>. Strong legal retailers will compete best against black markets<\/a><\/span>. That\u2019s why cannabis is being legalized in the first place.<\/p>\n This article was originally published on The Conversation<\/a><\/span>. Read the original article<\/a><\/span>.<\/p>\n Don\u2019t miss out on Doppler! Sign up for our free newsletter here<\/u>.<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\nIllegal shops may want to be legit<\/h4>\n
No store cap in Alberta<\/h4>\n
![\"Ontario's](\"https:\/\/media-doppleronline-ca.s3-accelerate.amazonaws.com\/2018\/09\/Ontario%E2%80%99s-Minister-of-Finance-Vic-Fideli-and-Attorney-General-Caroline-Mulroney-announced-changes-to-Ontario%E2%80%99s-cannabis-retail-model-in-August.-THE-CANADIAN-PRESS-Christopher-Katsarov-1024x681.jpg\")
Industry structure?<\/h4>\n
Grocers will want to sell<\/h4>\n
![\"Stores](\"https:\/\/media-doppleronline-ca.s3-accelerate.amazonaws.com\/2018\/09\/March-2017-Cannabis-Culture-store-manager-Mark-Harrison-following-a-police-raid-THE-CANADIAN-PRESS-Aaron-Vincent-Elkaim.jpg\")
Like vineyards or brew-pubs<\/h4>\n
\n![\"\"](\"https:\/\/media-doppleronline-ca.s3-accelerate.amazonaws.com\/2018\/07\/The-Conversation-logo.jpg\"){kind=logo}
<\/p>\n
\n