{"id":180765,"date":"2024-10-18T13:58:30","date_gmt":"2024-10-18T17:58:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/doppleronline.ca\/rwddev\/?p=180765"},"modified":"2024-10-18T13:58:33","modified_gmt":"2024-10-18T17:58:33","slug":"life-in-the-biggest-greenhouse","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/doppleronline.ca\/huntsville\/life-in-the-biggest-greenhouse\/","title":{"rendered":"Life in the biggest greenhouse: Hugh Holland \u00a0| Commentary\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"
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By Hugh Holland<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

The last few years brought droughts, wildfires, hurricanes, and 1000-year floods around the world. In Canada, thousands of buildings were destroyed, contributing to a shortage of materials, skilled labour, and homes. The $47 billion rebuild from the 2022 Hurricane at Fort Myers was just getting started when Hurricane Helene brought another 215 deaths and $160 billion in damage across seven states. Next, Hurricane Kirk is expected to reach the east coast of the US and Canada just ten days after Helene. My friend remarked how quickly the news of these events fades away. Unless personally affected, we seem to have become numb and accepting of mass destruction.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

If you\u2019ve ever been in a greenhouse on a hot day, you know the plants will die if the vents are closed. The ability of emissions to change the earth\u2019s climate was first observed by scientists 100 years ago, but since then, an eight-fold increase in population and consumption has put the earth\u2019s natural warming mechanism on steroids. Anyone paying attention knows that climate change is now a major cause of global inflation by destroying food crops, homes, and infrastructure, widening the economic gap between the haves and have nots, and driving mass migration.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

When will global warming become unsustainable? In theory, “Global warming becomes unsustainable when the cost of repeatedly replacing weather-damaged cropland, buildings and infrastructure exceeds the economy\u2019s ability to pay for it, at a global, regional, or country level”. But the downward spiral of unsustainability begins as insurance protection dries up. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

We now know the causes of climate change and how to fix it or at least mitigate it. But it’s fair to say that it will take a total team effort, from UN global climate agreements to national and subnational governments, industries, small businesses, and yes, individual consumers, to fix a problem of this magnitude and consequence.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Canada is one of the top 10 GHG emitters that contribute over two-thirds of global emissions because we are #4 of 200 countries in emissions per capita. Have-not countries feel the worst effects. But, according to the Canadian Climate Institute, \u201cDamages from the impacts of climate change in Canada are already here and by 2025, will be slowing Canada\u2019s economic growth by $25 billion annually, which is equal to 50 per cent of projected GDP growth. Prevention and adaptation could reduce future climate change costs by three-quarters.\u201d<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Canada has always been capable of great national projects like the CPR, the 7,400 km TC highway, the St Lawence Seaway, 72 major pipelines, 18 of the world\u2019s safest nuclear reactors, and the James Bay hydro project. Our top priority now must be to decarbonize our economy.  <\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

But climate change is making politics dysfunctional, pitting the West against the East. Western farmers are told tariffs to protect Ontario\u2019s EV manufacturing from cheaper Chinese imports will be at the expense of exporting Western grain to China. Should governments be spending their not-unlimited funds on tax and service cuts for a few or on building a more sustainable future for all Canadians? <\/p>\n\n\n\n

What efforts are energy producers making to reduce their emissions? Many countries, including Canada, are increasing capacity for clean wind, solar, geothermal, and nuclear electricity. But we need to replace fossil fuels much faster. Most countries, including China, are working to eliminate the use of coal as a fuel. The world’s biggest oil exporter, Saudi Arabia, has pledged to invest $180 billion to cut its carbon emissions to net zero. In Canada, the federal and Alberta governments are helping to fund geothermal and modular reactor research and projects to eliminate our single biggest source of emissions, the melting of heavy oil out of bitumen with natural gas, and they are funding carbon emission capture and storage as an interim measure.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The oil industry has all the resources and expertise needed to become the source of green hydrogen fuel for the emerging fleet of clean hydrogen-powered heavy trucks, construction equipment, trains, and aircraft. Oil and gas producers would be smart to become an early adapter in the emerging hydrogen industry well before the inevitable depletion of finite oil and gas reserves.   <\/p>\n\n\n\n

What efforts are energy consumers making to reduce their emissions?<\/strong>  Transportation and heating are the two biggest sources of emissions on the energy consumer side. Global auto producers are aggressively reinventing themselves, at great expense, to make BEVs (Battery-Electric light-duty vehicles) and HEVs (hydrogen-electric heavy-duty vehicles and equipment). The heating equipment industry is reinventing itself to make the new energy-efficient heat pumps. The steel and cement industries are converting to cleaner heat sources with electric arc furnaces. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Small business and individual consumers must also do their part. Producers can only produce what we consumers will buy.  That\u2019s where a carbon tax and refund program is important<\/strong>. How does it work?<\/strong>  It\u2019s both a carrot and a stick. We pay the tax when we buy gasoline, diesel, natural gas, and propane, and the standard tax is refunded to taxpayers three months later. You can keep on doing that forever, and it will cost you nothing. Or, when it comes time to replace your vehicle or heating system, you can opt for a much more energy-efficient and clean electric replacement. Then you will pay zero carbon tax for the electricity, but you still get the standard refund every three months. That refund pays for the electricity used by your energy-efficient EV and or heat pump.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Carbon tax and refund tools are used by most of our peer countries, and they work.  In Norway, an oil-producing country with a climate much like Canada, emissions dropped 12% from 2015 to 2020, and the country became the world leader in the penetration of EVs and heat pumps. Canada\u2019s emissions dropped 9% in the same period, with a lower penetration of EVs and heat pumps. The benefit of the carbon tax will double and triple as Norway\u2019s vehicle fleet moves from 25% to 50% to 75% electric.    <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The carbon tax provides incentive to reduce emissions without adding to personal or national debt. Governments also provide purchase rebates on EVs and heat pumps. We could drop the carbon tax and increase the purchase rebate, as the US did, but that would add to our national debt.   <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Where is our sense of priorities? Taylor Swift\u2019s six concerts are expected to bring $282 million to Toronto\u2019s economy, plus even more congestion and air pollution.  While people complain about the cost of food, gas, and rent, they are apparently willing to shell out $1,400 for an average Taylor Swift ticket. $1,400 is less than an average household pays for an entire year for the carbon tax, which is fully refunded and will pay for the clean electricity for an energy-efficient EV and heat pump.   And where does most of the Taylor Swift money end up?  Her net worth is estimated at $1.6 billion US. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hugh Holland  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

References<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Economic Impacts Of Climate Change – Canadian Climate Institute<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

Canadian Climate Institute: Climate Change Canada Policy Research<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n\n\n

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Hugh Holland is a retired engineering and manufacturing executive now living in Huntsville, Ontario.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

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<\/broadstreet-zone>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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