{"id":159284,"date":"2024-08-30T17:05:12","date_gmt":"2024-08-30T21:05:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/doppleronline.ca\/rwddev\/?p=159284"},"modified":"2024-08-30T20:12:18","modified_gmt":"2024-08-31T00:12:18","slug":"crude-oil","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/doppleronline.ca\/huntsville\/crude-oil\/","title":{"rendered":"Canada is not broken but it could be: Hugh Holland | Commentary"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

By Hugh Holland<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n

<\/broadstreet-zone><\/strong><\/div>\n\n\n\n

The election of a Poilievre government with his simplistic solutions to complex problems would set Canada back for much longer than he could be in office. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The next government would have to pick up the pieces and fix his errors and omissions. He doesn\u2019t seem to realize that the world is much more complicated than it was in 2006 when he was in the Harper government. At 41 million, our population is now 1\/3rd<\/sup> higher than the 31 million in 2006. Our civil service has grown proportionately to deal with the more complex problems of today and especially tomorrow. It should be noted that even Poilievre supports increased immigration to make our economy a little more competitive with the elephant to our south.\u00a0\u00a0<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Very little information is available yet on his official platform, but an August 19 article in the National Post provides a few clues. The general theme seems to be to cut the size of the federal civil service to enable cutting taxes. We\u2019ve seen that movie before. Harper cut the civil service by 5% and was unable to do the work necessary to get a single pipeline built in his 10 years. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The Liberals restored the muscle of the civil service and were able to build the TMX and Coastal Gas link pipelines, as well as manage a global pandemic and make significant progress towards climate change mitigation and many other improvements in childcare, dental care, and pharma care. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Too many Conservatives have blindly bought into Poilievre\u2019s storyline without doing any fact-checking. He says the recent spike in inflation and prices of food and housing are due to the growth of Canada\u2019s civil service. That is total nonsense. He claims cutting the civil service and cutting taxes will reduce the costs of food and housing, ignoring the internationally established facts that since January 2020, the difficult series of world events has been the root cause of inflation. First, companies around the world reduced production as private and public consumers hunkered down during COVID-19. Then, as the pandemic eased, global supply chains were unable to meet the sharp resumption of demand due to COVID-related staffing interruptions. For example, previously arranged immigration in Ontario dropped only 10% from 2019 to 2020, while housing starts dropped by 52%. The wars in Ukraine and the Middle East further complicated supply chains for energy, and housing, and food. The result was a global spike in inflation as shown, but Canada managed through that better than many peer countries<\/span>.\u00a0<\/a><\/p>\n\n\n\n

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*<\/strong>IMF Forecasts 2024.  **Price of <\/strong>Homes and infrastructure vs Income is heavily influenced by density and climate<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Apparently, Pierre needs to be reminded that if the Prime Minister is personally responsible for all the bad things that happen, then he is also responsible for all the good things that were previously listed. He needs to be reminded that there are ten provincial premiers (7 Conservative) who are primarily responsible for provincial files, including health care, education, and housing. So, the debate always boils down to a game of political chicken to see which level of government is responsible enough to tweak taxes to support needed services. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The IMF and TD Economics both forecast significant rebounds in Canada\u2019s leading economic indicators in 2024. The above objective comparison with peer countries shows Justin Trudeau and his experienced and capable cabinet ministers have much to be proud of, and Canada is clearly NOT broken as Poilievre proclaims. Canada is second only to the much larger economies of scale in the US as a preferred stable destination for foreign investment. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

One of the biggest contributors to our improved GDP in 2024 is the completion of the Trans Mountain oil pipeline expansion (the first new pipeline to be approved and built since 2007) that enables West Coast shipping to increase from 300,000 to 890,000 barrels per day (215 million barrels per year x $57 per barrel = $12 billion per year).  The world will need Canada\u2019s oil for at least another 20 years as smaller reserves are depleted and as we transition away from fossil fuels. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

But as climate change advances, countries will be under pressure to work together as never before, and Canada will be under immense pressure to reduce emissions from oil and gas production which make our emissions per capita the second highest in the world. If our oil and gas producers want to have a future, they must join the transition to new forms of clean energy as the global auto industry is doing. Will Conservatives join the work of our other three parties and help oil and gas companies to become clean energy companies, or will they remain stuck in the past?   <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The National Post says Pierre is \u201cfed up with the climate change obsession.\u201d  But, this year\u2019s weekly occurrence of extreme climate events (tornadoes, floods, and wildfires) is costing billions and making municipalities desperate for more funding to deal with resulting homelessness and rebuilding infrastructure.  For example, when Jasper, Alberta, lost 358 homes to the recent wildfire caused by climate-related drought conditions, about 1,350 people were instantly rendered homeless. ($285 million in lost property value) and the Premier of Alberta begged for help from Ottawa.  How does Poilievre\u2019s obsession with cutting taxes square with that urgent need? <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The National Post says Poilievre would eliminate anti-scab legislation that helps to reduce violence during labour negotiations.  That, plus cutting taxes and government services, is sure to create turbulent times and expand the equity gap between the top 5% and all others.  <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Canada is far from being broken. We are among the most privileged people in the world. Being a nagging, negative critic is much easier than being a positive, inspiring leader. Will we ever hear some credible positive thoughts from Pierre Poilievre?<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Hugh Holland<\/p>\n\n\n

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Hugh Holland is a retired engineering and manufacturing executive now living in Huntsville, Ontario.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n

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<\/broadstreet-zone>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

By Hugh Holland The election of a Poilievre government with his simplistic solutions to complex problems would set Canada back for much longer than he could be in office. 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